Global Monetary Base - Update through May 2026 and 2026 Forecast
- InfraCap Management
- Jun 8
- 1 min read
InfraCap Report Update, New York, NY ~ The team at Infrastructure Capital Advisors tracks the Global Monetary Base, defined as currency in circulation plus bank reserves, as an indicator of current and future interest rates. This article provides data and insights through May 2026 with data released in June 2026.
Global Monetary Base (GMB):
In May, GMB decreased by $33 billion (0.1%) MoM and has fallen by $596 billion (2.5%) YoY. Inflation is caused by excessive monetary growth, but the money supply has fallen by 8.9% over the trailing three years. If the Global Monetary Base remains steady in 2027, we expect interest rates to stabilize and decline as central banks cut rates in response to slow or negative growth. Declining global interest rates and a flat to increasing GMB will support the global stock and bond markets.
If the Global Monetary Base remains steady in 2026, we expect interest rates to stabilize and decline as central banks cut rates in response to slow or negative growth. Declining global interest rates and a flat to increasing GMB will support the global stock and bond markets.




